My three basic and key principles for successful financial investments (and sports investment is one of them) are:
1) Development of a base statistical and risk model.
2) Incorporation of additional and specific related information.
3) Understanding of psychology in the market.
The practical application of these principles defines my betting strategy.
First my statistical and risk model (including my learning & understanding of the psychology of the market) provides an initial number of tips. Then I incorporate additional and specific related information to the analysis, reducing the number of potential tips and coming to an estimated probability for each one. Finally I compare that probability against current odds. When there is a relevant deviation between my estimated probability and the one defined by bookies, we have found our tip.
Total Tips
3696Success Tips
2677Failed Tips
886Draw Tips
133+21144.5
Total Profits$36960
Total Stakes2.27
Average Odds57.21%
ROI75.13%
Hits RateAsian Handicap Half Time24.30%
Asian Handicap Full Time24.81%
Fixed Odd Half Time0.00%
Fixed Odd Full Time24.51%
Total Goals Half Time26.38%
Total Goals Full Time0.00%
24.02.2119:00
Dynamo Dresden - Bayern Munich IIGermany 3-3. Liga
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Bayern Munich II 0.5
1.8
$10
+8
WIN
1-1 (1-0)
24.02.2118:00
Tottenham Hotspur - Wolfsberger ACEuropa League 1-Europa League Final Stage
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Tottenham Hotspur -0.75
2
$10
+5
WIN
4-0 (1-0)
24.02.2115:00
Odisha FC - Mumbai City FCIndia ISL 1-Indian Super League
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Mumbai City FC to win
1.8
$10
+8
WIN
1-6 (1-4)
24.02.2114:00
TS Galaxy - Bloemfontein CelticSouth Africa 1-Premier Soccer League
Fixed Odd
Full Time
TS Galaxy to win
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
1-0 (1-0)
23.02.2120:00
MC Alger - EsperanceCAF Champions League 1-CAF Champions League Grp. D
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Draw
2.9
$10
+19
WIN
1-1 (1-0)
23.02.2118:15
Aarau - XamaxSwitzerland 2-Challenge League
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Aarau to win
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
4-0 (2-0)
23.02.2117:15
Al-Wakra - Qatar SCQatar 1-Qatar Stars League
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Al-Wakra +0.5
2
$10
+10
WIN
0-0 (0-0)
23.02.2114:00
NK Gosk Dubrovnik - SlavenCroatia Cup 1-FA Cup
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Slaven -0.75
1.9
$10
-10
LOSE
1-4 (1-1)
22.02.2120:45
Club Brugge - OH LeuvenBelgium 1-First Division A
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Club Brugge -0.75
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
3-0 (2-0)
22.02.2119:00
Wehen Wiesbaden - KFC UerdingenGermany 3-3. Liga
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Wehen Wiesbaden to win
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
3-1 (3-1)
22.02.2119:00
Lyngby - FC KoebenhavnDenmark 1-Superligaen
Fixed Odd
Half Time
FC Koebenhavn to win
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
2-2 (0-1)
22.02.2118:30
Panetolikos - PanathinaikosGreece 1-Super League
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Panetolikos +0.25
2.2
$10
+12
WIN
1-0 (1-0)
21.02.2117:00
Landskrona BoIS - Oestersunds FKSweden Cup 1-Cup Grp. 5
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Oestersunds FK -0.5
2
$10
+10
WIN
0-3 (0-1)
21.02.2115:00
Zaglebie Lubin - Rakow CzestochowaPoland 1-Ekstraklasa
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Rakow Czestochowa to win
2
$10
+10
WIN
1-2 (1-1)
21.02.2113:30
Beroe - Slavia SofiaBulgaria 1-First Professional League
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Beroe to win
2
$10
+10
WIN
1-1 (1-0)
21.02.2113:00
Partizan Beograd - FK Radnik SurdulicaSerbia 1-Super Liga
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Partizan Beograd -0.75
1.9
$10
+4.5
WIN
3-0 (1-0)
20.02.2123:15
Defensor Sporting - Liverpool FCUruguay 1-Primera Division Clausura
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Liverpool FC to win
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
0-3 (0-1)
20.02.2118:15
Albacete - Sporting GijonSpain 2-LaLiga2
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Sporting Gijon -0.25
1.9
$10
+9
WIN
0-1 (0-1)
20.02.2117:00
Fehervar FC - Diosgyori VTKHungary 1-NB I
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Fehervar FC to win
1.9
$10
+9
WIN
1-3 (1-0)
20.02.2114:00
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Ludogorets RazgradBulgaria 1-First Professional League
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Lokomotiv Plovdiv +0.25
1.9
$10
+9
WIN
3-2 (2-1)
19.02.2122:30
Universidad Catolica - OlmedoEcuador 1-Serie A - First Stage
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Olmedo 0.25
2.1
$10
0
VOID
19.02.2120:30
Arminia Bielefeld - WolfsburgGermany 1-1. Bundesliga
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Wolfsburg -1
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
0-3 (0-1)
19.02.2119:30
Universitatea Craiova - HermannstadtRomania 1-Liga I
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Universitatea Craiova to win
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
1-0 (1-0)
19.02.2117:00
Adana Demirspor - AltayTurkey 2-1. Lig
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Adana Demirspor to win
2.3
$10
-10
LOSE
1-2 (0-2)
18.02.2119:00
Silkeborg - Kolding IFDenmark 2-1. Division
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Silkeborg -0.75
2
$10
+10
WIN
3-0 (2-0)
18.02.2118:55
Real Sociedad - Manchester UnitedEuropa League 1-Europa League Final Stage
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Manchester United -0.25
2
$10
+10
WIN
0-4 (0-1)
18.02.2114:30
Ajman - Al-Nasr SCUAE 1-Arabian Gulf League
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Al-Nasr SC to win
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
0-3 (0-1)
18.02.2114:00
PAS Giannina - PanathinaikosGreece Cup 1-Cup
Fixed Odd
Full Time
PAS Giannina to win
3.1
$10
+21
WIN
2-1 (1-1)
17.02.2119:30
AD Cabofriense - Sampaio Correa RJBrazil State 1-Carioca Preliminary Stage
Asian Handicap
Full Time
AD Cabofriense -0.5
1.8
$10
+8
WIN
2-1 (1-1)
17.02.2119:00
Celtic - AberdeenScotland 1-Premiership
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Celtic to win
2.2
$10
+12
WIN
1-0 (1-0)
17.02.2118:30
Wigan Athletic - Hull CityEngland 3-League One
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Wigan Athletic +0.25
1.9
$10
-10
LOSE
0-5 (0-2)
17.02.2114:00
River Plate - RentistasUruguay 1-Primera Division Clausura
Fixed Odd
Full Time
River Plate to win
2
$10
-10
LOSE
1-1 (1-1)
16.02.2120:45
Glenavon - Carrick RangersNorthern Ireland 1-Premiership
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Carrick Rangers 0.25
2.1
$10
-10
LOSE
1-1 (1-0)
16.02.2120:00
Bradford City - MorecambeEngland 4-League Two
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Bradford City -0.25
2
$10
+10
WIN
2-1 (1-1)
16.02.2119:00
Gillingham - Peterborough UnitedEngland 3-League One
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Peterborough United to win
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
1-3 (1-0)
16.02.2114:00
Zlatibor - TSC Backa TopolaSerbia 1-Super Liga
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
0-1 (0-0)
15.02.2118:45
Sochaux - ValenciennesFrance 2-Ligue 2
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Sochaux to win
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
2-0 (1-0)
15.02.2118:45
Jong Ajax - FC DordrechtNetherlands 2-Eerste Divisie
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
3.1
$10
+21
WIN
1-2 (0-0)
15.02.2116:00
AEK Larnaca - Ethnikos AchnasCyprus 1-1. Division
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Ethnikos Achnas 0.25
2.1
$10
+5.5
WIN
3-1 (1-1)
15.02.2114:00
Genclerbirligi - BesiktasTurkey 1-Super Lig
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Besiktas -1.75
2.5
$10
+15
WIN
0-3 (0-1)
14.02.2115:30
Eintracht Frankfurt - FC KoelnGermany 1-1. Bundesliga
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
2.4
$10
+14
WIN
2-0 (0-0)
14.02.2114:00
FK Pohronie - Zemplin MichalovceSlovakia 1-Super Liga
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Zemplin Michalovce 0.5
1.8
$10
+8
WIN
1-1 (1-1)
14.02.2113:30
Darmstadt - OsnabrueckGermany 2-2. Bundesliga
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Darmstadt to win
2
$10
+10
WIN
1-0 (1-0)
14.02.2113:00
St. Johnstone - CelticScotland 1-Premiership
Asian Handicap
Half Time
St. Johnstone +0.25
2.1
$10
+5.5
WIN
1-2 (0-0)
13.02.2118:15
Winterthur - KriensSwitzerland 2-Challenge League
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Winterthur -1.25
2.4
$10
0
VOID
postponed
13.02.2116:00
Crusaders - Carrick RangersNorthern Ireland 1-Premiership
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Crusaders -0.75
1.9
$10
-10
LOSE
1-3 (0-1)
13.02.2114:15
Sparta Rotterdam - Fortuna SittardNetherlands 1-Eredivisie
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
1-2 (1-1)
13.02.2114:00
KFC Uerdingen - FSV ZwickauGermany 3-3. Liga
Fixed Odd
Full Time
FSV Zwickau to win
3.4
$10
0
VOID
postponed
12.02.2120:45
Blackburn Rovers - Preston North EndEngland 2-Championship
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Blackburn Rovers to win
1.9
$10
-10
LOSE
1-2 (-)
12.02.2120:00
AS Vita Club - Simba SCCAF Champions League 1-CAF Champions League Grp. A
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
0-1 (0-0)
12.02.2115:00
SC East Bengal - Hyderabad FCIndia ISL 1-Indian Super League
Asian Handicap
Full Time
SC East Bengal +0.5
1.8
$10
+8
WIN
1-1 (0-0)
12.02.2113:00
FC Inter Turku - IFK MariehamnFinland Cup 1-Cup Grp. B
Asian Handicap
Half Time
FC Inter Turku -0.75
2
$10
+5
WIN
2-0 (1-0)
11.02.2119:00
Bayern Munich - TigresWorld Club Championship 1-FIFA Club World Cup
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Bayern Munich -0.75
1.9
$10
-10
LOSE
1-0 (0-0)
11.02.2118:45
Sochaux - Saint-EtienneFrance Cup 1-Coupe de France
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Saint-Etienne to win
2.1
$10
-10
LOSE
1-0 (1-0)
11.02.2118:00
Pafos FC - Enosis ParalimniCyprus 1-1. Division
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Pafos FC to win
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
2-1 (1-0)
11.02.2115:45
Sivasspor - AntalyasporTurkey Cup 1-Cup
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Antalyaspor 0.5
1.8
$10
+8
WIN
0-1 (0-0)
10.02.2121:15
Braga - FC PortoPortugal Cup 1-Cup
Fixed Odd
Full Time
FC Porto to win
2.3
$10
-10
LOSE
1-1 (0-1)
10.02.2121:00
Chievo Verona - ReggianaItaly 2-Serie B
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
1-0 (0-0)
10.02.2120:15
AGF - B 93Denmark Cup 1-DBU Pokalen
Asian Handicap
Half Time
AGF -0.75
1.9
$10
+4.5
WIN
3-1 (1-0)
10.02.2116:00
Olympiakos Nicosia - APOEL NicosiaCyprus 1-1. Division
Asian Handicap
Full Time
APOEL Nicosia -0.5
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
2-3 (0-1)
09.02.2118:00
Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Kfar SabaIsrael 1-Ligat HaAl
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Bnei Sakhnin to win
2.3
$10
-10
LOSE
0-1 (0-0)
09.02.2116:30
Karlovy Vary - OpavaCzech Republic Cup 1-Cup
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Karlovy Vary to win
2.6
$10
+16
WIN
3-0 (1-0)
09.02.2116:10
Al Fateh FC - Al Nassr FCSaudi Arabia 1-Premier League
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Al Fateh FC +0.25
1.9
$10
+4.5
WIN
1-1 (0-0)
09.02.2114:05
Al Ain - Al HilalSaudi Arabia 1-Premier League
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Al Hilal -1.5
2
$10
+10
WIN
0-5 (0-2)
08.02.2122:00
Belenenses SAD - Vitoria de GuimaraesPortugal 1-Primeira Liga
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Vitoria de Guimaraes to win
2.3
$10
-10
LOSE
1-1 (1-1)
08.02.2121:00
Jong Ajax - CambuurNetherlands 2-Eerste Divisie
Asian Handicap
Half Time
postponed
2
$10
0
VOID
08.02.2117:00
Giresunspor - BursasporTurkey 2-1. Lig
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Bursaspor to win
9
$10
-10
LOSE
2-1 (2-1)
07.02.2119:00
Palmeiras - TigresWorld Club Championship 1-FIFA Club World Cup
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Palmeiras to win
2.1
$10
-10
LOSE
0-1 (0-0)
07.02.2117:30
AEL Limassol - Pafos FCCyprus 1-1. Division
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
2.2
$10
+12
WIN
1-0 (0-0)
07.02.2116:15
Olympiacos - OFI CreteGreece 1-Super League
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Olympiacos -1
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
3-0 (2-0)
07.02.2114:30
Willem II - ADO Den HaagNetherlands 1-Eredivisie
Asian Handicap
Full Time
ADO Den Haag -0.5
4.4
$10
0
VOID
postponed
06.02.2120:45
Genoa - SSC NapoliItaly 1-Serie A
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Genoa +0.25
1.9
$10
+9
WIN
2-1 (2-0)
06.02.2117:45
Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Beer ShevaIsrael 1-Ligat HaAl
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Hapoel Beer Sheva -0.25
1.9
$10
+9
WIN
0-1 (0-1)
06.02.2116:00
Ross County - Dundee UnitedScotland 1-Premiership
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Ross County to win
2.3
$10
-10
LOSE
0-2 (0-0)
06.02.2114:15
FF Jaro - RoPSFinland Cup 1-Cup Grp. F
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
2.4
$10
-10
LOSE
1-2 (0-1)
05.02.2120:00
Fortuna Sittard - HeraclesNetherlands 1-Eredivisie
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Heracles to win
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
0-1 (0-1)
05.02.2118:00
Kapfenberger SV - Wolfsberger ACAustria Cup 1-Cup
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Kapfenberger SV +0.75
2
$10
+10
WIN
1-1 (1-1)
05.02.2118:00
Lechia Gdansk - Warta PoznanPoland 1-Ekstraklasa
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Lechia Gdansk to win
2.5
$10
+15
WIN
1-1 (1-0)
05.02.2114:00
Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel RaananaIsrael 2-Leumit League
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Hapoel Nir Ramat HaSharon -0.25
1.8
$10
0
VOID
postponed
04.02.2119:00
CFR Cluj - FC Viitorul ConstantaRomania 1-Liga I
Asian Handicap
Half Time
CFR Cluj -0.5
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
2-1 (1-0)
04.02.2116:15
Asteras Tripolis - Aris Thessaloniki FCGreece Cup 1-Cup
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Aris Thessaloniki FC to win
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
0-2 (0-1)
04.02.2114:30
Baniyas - Al FujairahUAE 1-Arabian Gulf League
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
2.4
$10
-10
LOSE
2-1 (0-1)
03.02.2120:00
Budafoki MTE - ZalaegerszegHungary 1-NB I
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Budafoki MTE +0.25
2
$10
+10
WIN
3-1 (1-0)
03.02.2118:30
RB Leipzig - BochumGermany Cup 1-DFB Pokal
Asian Handicap
Half Time
RB Leipzig -0.75
1.8
$10
+8
WIN
4-0 (2-0)
03.02.2118:30
Wolfsburg - Schalke 04Germany Cup 1-DFB Pokal
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Wolfsburg to win
2
$10
+10
WIN
1-0 (1-0)
03.02.2115:00
Pergolettese - PistoieseItaly 3-Serie C Grp. A
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Pergolettese to win
2.3
$10
+13
WIN
2-0 (1-0)
02.02.2120:00
Fehervar FC - Mezokovesd SEHungary 1-NB I
Fixed Odd
Half Time
Draw
2.4
$10
+14
WIN
0-0 (0-0)
02.02.2117:30
Kisvarda - MTK BudapestHungary 1-NB I
Fixed Odd
Full Time
MTK Budapest to win
3.5
$10
+25
WIN
0-2 (0-1)
02.02.2116:00
Osijek - SlavenCroatia 1-1. Division
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Osijek -0.25
1.9
$10
+9
WIN
3-0 (1-0)
02.02.2114:00
Hatayspor - FenerbahceTurkey 1-Super Lig
Asian Handicap
Full Time
Hatayspor +0.25
2.1
$10
-10
LOSE
1-2 (0-1)
01.02.2120:45
Watford - Queens Park RangersEngland 2-Championship
Asian Handicap
Half Time
Queens Park Rangers 0.25
1.9
$10
+4.5
WIN
1-2 (0-0)
01.02.2119:00
Chindia Targoviste - CFR ClujRomania 1-Liga I
Asian Handicap
Full Time
CFR Cluj -0.5
1.8
$10
+8
WIN
0-1 (0-0)
01.02.2118:00
Stal Mielec - Slask WroclawPoland 1-Ekstraklasa
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Slask Wroclaw to win
2.3
$10
-10
LOSE
0-0 (0-0)