Finding value is paramount to my betting strategy. Without it you cannot hope to be in profit over the long term. Only in a small percentage of football matches do the available odds provide an opportunity for a profitable value bet, where the available odds on the eventual winner is significantly better than the true probability of that team winning. There are many possible reasons why the bookmakers and perceived wisdom of the betting crowd can get the odds wrong on occasion. Often the superiority of the top teams and star players is over estimated and the power of the team dynamic and motivational strength of the lower ranking teams is undervalued. I have developed statistical methods for finding potential value bets in European football. The stats provide me with a short list of games for further study. I will look at all the relevant factors and pre-match reports for each of these games in detail to find reasons why the available odds differ from my predictions and only if satisfied that value exists will I place a bet.
Total Tips
954Success Tips
680Failed Tips
242Draw Tips
32+8567
Total Profits$9540
Total Stakes2.66
Average Odds89.80%
ROI73.75%
Hits RateAsian Handicap Half Time0.00%
Asian Handicap Full Time0.00%
Fixed Odd Half Time0.00%
Fixed Odd Full Time0.00%
Total Goals Half Time100.00%
Total Goals Full Time0.00%
26.02.2121:00
Empoli - VeneziaItaly 2-Serie B
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Empoli to win
2.1
$10
-10
LOSE
1-1 (0-1)
25.02.2117:15
Al-Wasl - Al-WahdaUAE 1-Arabian Gulf League
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Draw
3
$10
+20
WIN
2-2 (1-1)
24.02.2114:00
Al Hilal Omdurman - TP MazembeCAF Champions League 1-CAF Champions League Grp. B
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Draw
2.9
$10
+19
WIN
0-0 (0-0)
23.02.2113:00
Trat FC - Suphanburi FCThailand 1-Thai League
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Suphanburi FC to win
2.2
$10
+12
WIN
0-2 (0-0)
22.02.2121:00
Real Zaragoza - AlcorconSpain 2-LaLiga2
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Real Zaragoza to win
2.1
$10
-10
LOSE
0-1 (0-0)
21.02.2115:00
AlbinoLeffe - GrossetoItaly 3-Serie C Grp. A
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Draw
3
$10
+20
WIN
0-0 (0-0)
20.02.2114:00
Wuppertal - Borussia Moenchengladbach IIGermany 4-Regionalliga West
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Draw
3.4
$10
0
VOID
postponed
19.02.2114:50
Busaiteen - Al AhliBahrain 1-Premier League
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Al Ahli to win
2.8
$10
+18
WIN
1-0 (1-0)
18.02.2118:55
FC Krasnodar - Dinamo ZagrebEuropa League 1-Europa League Final Stage
Fixed Odd
Full Time
FC Krasnodar to win
2.2
$10
-10
LOSE
2-3 (1-1)
17.02.2113:55
Al-Raed - Al-WehdaSaudi Arabia 1-Premier League
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Al-Wehda to win
2.9
$10
+19
WIN
1-3 (1-1)
16.02.2120:45
Ballymena United - ColeraineNorthern Ireland 1-Premiership
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Coleraine to win
2
$10
+10
WIN
0-1 (0-0)
15.02.2123:15
Boston River - Montevideo City TorqueUruguay 1-Primera Division Clausura
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Montevideo City Torque to win
2.1
$10
+11
WIN
0-3 (0-0)
14.02.2119:30
Youssoufia Berrechid - RSB BerkaneMorocco 1-Botola Pro
Fixed Odd
Full Time
RSB Berkane to win
1.9
$10
-10
LOSE
1-0 (1-0)
13.02.2116:00
Hull City - Milton Keynes DonsEngland 3-League One
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Milton Keynes Dons to win
3.2
$10
+22
WIN
0-1 (0-0)
12.02.2120:00
Thun - GrasshopperSwitzerland 2-Challenge League
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Grasshopper to win
3.1
$10
+21
WIN
0-2 (0-1)
11.02.2122:00
Boca Juniors de Cali - Union MagdalenaColombia 2-Primera B Apertura
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Union Magdalena to win
2.7
$10
+17
WIN
0-1 (0-0)
10.02.2121:00
Sevilla - BarcelonaSpain Cup 1-Copa del Rey
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Barcelona to win
2.2
$10
-10
LOSE
2-0 (1-0)
09.02.2114:00
SKF Sered - FK PohronieSlovakia 1-Super Liga
Fixed Odd
Full Time
FK Pohronie to win
2.2
$10
+12
WIN
0-1 (0-0)
07.02.2117:30
Matelica - Vis PesaroItaly 3-Serie C Grp. B
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Draw
3.1
$10
+21
WIN
1-1 (1-0)
06.02.2121:30
Estoril - AcademicaPortugal 2-Segunda Liga
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Academica to win
3.4
$10
+24
WIN
1-2 (0-0)
05.02.2117:15
Al-Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FCUAE 1-Arabian Gulf League
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC to win
2.2
$10
+12
WIN
1-4 (0-1)
04.02.2114:05
Al Ain - Al-EttifaqSaudi Arabia 1-Premier League
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Al Ain to win
2.8
$10
+18
WIN
1-0 (1-0)
03.02.2117:30
S.S. Arezzo - GubbioItaly 3-Serie C Grp. B
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Gubbio to win
2.9
$10
+19
WIN
0-1 (0-0)
02.02.2118:00
Union St.Gilloise - Royal Excel MouscronBelgium Cup 1-Cup
Fixed Odd
Full Time
Royal Excel Mouscron to win
6.5
$10
-10
LOSE
2-1 (0-1)
01.02.2118:15
Hapoel Ironi Akko - Hapoel IksalIsrael 2-Leumit League
Fixed Odd
Full Time
postponed
2.3
$10
0
VOID
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